Expert: XRP Is Testing Levels That Could Change the Timeline By Months

XRP is sitting at a decision point. Crypto analyst CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) has been monitoring the asset’s behavior around key Fibonacci levels.

The structure she highlights in her new post could determine whether a major rally arrives on schedule or gets pushed back by months.

XRP is currently trading near $1.0334, having slipped below its macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. CasiTrades notes the asset is “essentially floating between major levels,” with no clean resolution yet. That compression between support zones is what makes the current moment significant.

WE ARE TESTING LEVELS THAT COULD CHANGE THE TIMELINE BY MONTHS!!! 🚨

I've been watching ripple:native slip below its macro .786 Fib over the last few days, hoping we'd find meaningful support. But its essentially floating between major levels… I know many of you are… pic.twitter.com/zUBqMb1M9n

— CasiTrades 🔥 (@CasiTrades) November 12, 2026

Two Outcomes Are on the Table

The first scenario keeps the bullish wave count intact. If XRP forms a double-bottom near the $1 level, that would complete subwave 2 and preserve what CasiTrades calls the “new-trend scenario.” She describes the $1 and $0.90 zones as “major macro buying levels” with few significant supports remaining below them.

The second scenario is more complicated. A new low toward $0.90 would reset the subwave count entirely. CasiTrades explains that this would require “another smaller W1 and W2 before the larger move can really get going,” potentially delaying the breakout by months.

The Macro Target Stays Valid

Neither outcome kills the larger thesis. CasiTrades is clear: “This does not invalidate macro W3 targets.” Double-digit price targets remain valid unless XRP breaks below the $0.77 low from October 2025. That level is the true line in the sand.

Watching the RSI Divergence

The most immediate signal CasiTrades is watching is a developing bullish RSI divergence. While XRP has continued to creep lower, the RSI is forming higher lows, a pattern visible on the 1-hour chart circled around early-to-mid November. She states the divergence “suggests selling momentum is weakening and a potential macro trend reversal is taking shape.”

The key condition is straightforward. CasiTrades wants to see that “bullish divergence trendline hold.” If it does, it supports the case that the asset is building a base rather than entering deeper decline.

Confirmation Still Ahead

Despite the developing signals, CasiTrades keeps the confirmation bar high. There will be no meaningful signal that the bottom is in, she says, “until XRP finally breaks $1.65 resistance.” Until that level gives way, the analysis remains a watch-and-wait situation.

Her plan has not changed. The supports at $1 and $0.90 remain the levels to defend. The divergence is building. The wave count is at a fork. What happens at these levels over the coming sessions will determine whether XRP accelerates into its next major move or takes a longer road to get there.