Egrag Crypto Says XRP Is In Trouble After This Signal Flashed

XRP is approaching a critical stage in its long-term market structure as its Gaussian Channel turns red on the two-week chart.

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto sees a significant similarity between the current setup and XRP’s previous market cycle, when the same indicator change coincided with the formation of a macro double bottom.

As XRP tests the $1.03–$1.04 price region, the analyst believes the market could be establishing another major bottom before an extended upward move.

In his tweet, Egrag Crypto shared a long-term XRP chart highlighting the technical structure behind his outlook. He argues that the current decline could form a higher second low, setting the stage for a potential breakout toward significantly higher price levels.

#XRP | THE GAUSSIAN CHANNEL IS TURNING RED. WE ARE FUCKED.

Now zoom out to the 2-week chart.

Last cycle, the Gaussian Channel turned red around the time #XRP formed its macro double bottom. That’s the comparison I’m watching as #XRP tests $1.03–$1.04.

My Thesis:
▫#XRP… pic.twitter.com/a0fWIDgZBt

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) November 12, 2026

Similarities With Previous XRP Cycle

Egrag Crypto’s analysis focuses on the Gaussian Channel, which has started turning red on XRP’s two-week timeframe. He pointed out that the indicator underwent a similar transition during the previous cycle, around the time XRP established its macro double bottom.

The analyst views the current $1.03–$1.04 region as an important area for the formation of another bottom. His chart shows XRP trading within a long-term ascending channel, defined by the Central Line and Macro Bottom Line.

According to his analysis, XRP could establish a macro double bottom with its second low above the previous low. This higher-low formation would indicate that the market is maintaining stronger long-term support despite the current bearish indicator signal.

Egrag Crypto emphasized that the Gaussian Channel’s red transition is still developing. He believes investors should examine the broader two-week structure rather than interpret the indicator’s color change in isolation.

$3.50 Breakout Could Confirm A Macro Higher High

The $3.50 price region represents another major level in Egrag Crypto’s analysis. He explained that a sustained breakout above this area would strengthen the bullish structure and support the possibility of XRP recording a macro higher high.

His chart illustrates a potential recovery from the current support region, followed by a move toward $3.50 and an eventual breakout. The projected trajectory also includes two long-term measured-move targets at $60 and $180.

These projections reflect the analyst’s highly bullish outlook for XRP if the proposed market structure develops successfully. They also demonstrate the scale of the potential price appreciation he anticipates over the longer term.

Egrag Crypto Maintains Bullish XRP Outlook

Despite the Gaussian Channel turning red, Egrag Crypto maintains his bullish outlook. He believes the current market conditions could represent an accumulation opportunity ahead of XRP’s next major upward phase.

He concluded his post by stating, “I believe #XRP can go much, much, much higher if this structure plays out.”

For Egrag Crypto, the key developments remain the formation of a higher second low and an eventual breakout above $3.50. Together, these conditions form the foundation of his long-term XRP outlook, with $60 and $180 representing his projected targets if the bullish structure materializes.